Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.188707 0.218549 0.251563 0.290797 0.336160 0.386973 0.448233
2025-08-24 0.143133 0.183473 0.232766 0.297440 0.380115 0.482353 0.618556
2025-08-31 0.116805 0.160619 0.217965 0.298547 0.408975 0.555211 0.763997
2025-09-07 0.099998 0.145612 0.208756 0.302589 0.438680 0.629255 0.917166
2025-09-14 0.084665 0.129552 0.194778 0.296517 0.451506 0.679303 1.040725
2025-09-21 0.073665 0.117834 0.184862 0.294046 0.467856 0.734615 1.176834
2025-09-28 0.065977 0.109899 0.179246 0.296774 0.491534 0.802506 1.339109
2025-10-05 0.062021 0.107262 0.181361 0.311642 0.535727 0.906877 1.571586
2025-10-12 0.057710 0.103373 0.180775 0.321621 0.572464 1.002427 1.799737
2025-10-19 0.053597 0.099238 0.179145 0.329339 0.605763 1.095141 2.032917
2025-10-26 0.049296 0.094184 0.175222 0.332297 0.630535 1.174975 2.251277
2025-11-02 0.044615 0.087830 0.168160 0.328494 0.642094 1.231554 2.431990
2025-11-09 0.039497 0.080116 0.157859 0.317644 0.639595 1.262702 2.569943
2025-11-16 0.037064 0.077408 0.156860 0.324900 0.673448 1.367562 2.866674
2025-11-23 0.034246 0.073559 0.153129 0.326109 0.695043 1.450174 3.127211
2025-11-30 0.032051 0.070728 0.151103 0.330525 0.723605 1.549685 3.434273
2025-12-07 0.029081 0.065870 0.144293 0.323891 0.727688 1.598201 3.636396
2025-12-14 0.026766 0.062178 0.139550 0.321193 0.739973 1.665378 3.887346
2025-12-21 0.025126 0.059818 0.137458 0.324172 0.765282 1.763717 4.220421
2025-12-28 0.024586 0.059950 0.140963 0.340416 0.822961 1.941039 4.758536
2026-01-04 0.023689 0.059122 0.142158 0.351317 0.869192 2.096762 5.262838
2026-01-11 0.022686 0.057919 0.142332 0.359748 0.910354 2.244798 5.765324
2026-01-18 0.021442 0.055968 0.140493 0.362980 0.938967 2.365475 6.212953